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The five most common investing mistakes Warren Buffett warns investors about

  • Writer: Ben Tan
    Ben Tan
  • Jan 19
  • 3 min read

Many investors spend their lives searching for the “secret” to investing success. Yet one man has been sharing the answers openly for decades.


Warren Buffett, the chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, didn’t just build extraordinary wealth. Through his annual shareholder letters, interviews, and meetings, he has consistently warned investors about the same mistakes—mistakes that still trap people today.


If you want to become a better long-term investor, avoiding these errors matters far more than finding the next hot stock. Let’s break down the five most common investing mistakes Buffett has repeatedly cautioned against.


Ben Tan, Singapore investor, smiling, holding "Value Investing" book. Text: "The five most common investing mistakes Warren Buffett warns investors about." Background with binary code.

1. Trying to time the market


One of Buffett’s clearest messages is this: market timing doesn’t work.


Many investors obsess over predicting market tops and bottoms. They track headlines, interest rate decisions, wars, pandemics, and economic data—hoping to buy at the perfect moment and sell before a crash.


The problem? Most of these events are unpredictable.


Buffett reminds us that time is better spent understanding what we can know:


  • The quality of the business

  • Its economic moat

  • Cash-flow durability

  • Management quality

  • Long-term growth prospects


Instead of asking, “Is now the right time to buy?” Buffett encourages investors to ask, “Is this a great business at a sensible price?”


2. Falling into confirmation bias


Confirmation bias is one of the most dangerous psychological traps in investing.


It happens when investors seek information that supports their existing beliefs while ignoring facts that contradict them. Once we like a stock, we subconsciously look for reasons to justify owning it—even when warning signs appear.


Buffett warns against this mindset. Good investing requires intellectual honesty.


That means:


  • Actively looking for what could go wrong

  • Stress-testing your assumptions

  • Being willing to admit you are wrong


The best investors don’t fall in love with their ideas. They challenge them.


If you want to read more about Charlie Munger's 25 cognitive biases, download the concise version here.


Charlie Munger in a suit with glasses sits against a light green background. Text reads: "Charlie Munger's Psychology of Human Misjudgement."

3. Investing outside your circle of competence


Buffett often says you don’t need to understand every business—just the ones you invest in.


Many investors buy stocks purely based on ratios, charts, or social media recommendations, without truly understanding:


  • How the company makes money

  • What drives demand

  • Who the real competitors are

  • Why customers choose the product


Buffett’s advice is simple: stay within your circle of competence.


If you can’t explain a business model clearly, you probably shouldn’t invest in it. Deep understanding creates conviction, and conviction is what allows you to hold through volatility.


4. Over-diversifying your portfolio


Diversification protects against ignorance—but too much of it can dilute returns.


Buffett has long argued that owning 25 to 30 stocks often signals a lack of confidence or understanding. When you truly understand a high-quality business, you don’t need dozens of positions to feel safe.


His view is that a focused portfolio of a few outstanding companies—backed by deep research—can outperform a widely scattered one.


The goal isn’t to own many stocks.


The goal is to own the right ones.


5. Following the crowd


Following popular opinion is one of the fastest ways to destroy long-term returns.


When everyone agrees on an investment, prices often already reflect that optimism. Buffett echoes Howard Marks’ famous line:


“What’s obvious to everyone is almost always wrong.”


Great investing often feels uncomfortable. It requires:


  • Thinking independently

  • Ignoring short-term noise

  • Being patient when others are emotional


Buffett’s success came not from predicting the future—but from staying rational when others weren’t.


Crowd with money-eye glasses follows "Popular Investment" sign over cliff. Two men observe, one pointing. Warning sign and chart in background.

A smarter way forward


Warren Buffett’s warnings are timeless because human behaviour hasn’t changed.


Markets will always be emotional. Headlines will always be noisy. Short-term predictions will always sound convincing. But long-term investing success still comes down to discipline, patience, and clear thinking.


By focusing on business fundamentals, staying within your circle of competence, avoiding psychological traps, and resisting the crowd, you give yourself a massive edge—without needing complex strategies or constant trading.


The real question is: which of these mistakes are you most at risk of making today?

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